IIPM : EXECUTIVE EDUCATION
Even without Nicholas the deal will see through, but it may dilute the process a bit
While the Indian Left is hell-bent on seeing the Indo-US nuclear deal die its natural death – the rightist forces led by some religious groups in the US are launching a campaign against the deal on the grounds that it goes against the US non-proliferation goals & strengthens India’s strategic options. In addition, the recent resignation of US’ Under Secretary for Political Affairs Nicholas Burns, the Chief Architect of the 123 agreement sent shivers down the Indian strategic community. However, the fears were short-lived – Nicholas will continue as the Special Envoy on the nuclear deal till at least the end of the Bush Administration.
The ongoing safeguards negotiations between the India administration & the IAEA are reported to be moving in a positive direction. The IAEA is considering India’s concerns regarding ‘disruption in fuel supplies & also ‘non-intrusive inspections’ – leaving its defence nuclear reactors outside the purview of inspections. However, it is difficult to say that any kind of agreement with the IAEA will be acceptable to the Indian Left, especially because their opposition is to the Indo-US nuclear deal & not really against the de-nuclearisation of India.
Taking Prakash Karat’s statement on January 21 into account, it seems that the deal is unlikely. But, Commodore C. Uday Bhaskar, former Director, IDSA, adds, “Even if Indian Communists oppose the deal and pull down the government, then the next Congress or BJP government will have to face India’s nuclear reality of shortage of fuel and nuclear isolation and will carry though the deal.” On the success of the deal, post-Burns, Ajay Lele, Research Fellow, Institute of Defence Studies and Analysis, (IDSA) India, said, “Nicholas Burns, before resigning has said that they have done as much as they could and won’t be making any more concessions. The fructification of deal will depend on how Congress is able to manoeuvre Indian Communists.”
B&E edit bureau: Rajeev K. Singh
For more articles, Click on IIPM Article.
Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
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