Thursday, August 11, 2011

Can India trust China when it comes to border disputes?

IIPM Mumbai Campus

Self-introspection: India, China at war in 2011?

Anything between India and China creates massive media sensation. It did so when defence expert, Bharat Verma, editor of the Indian Defence Review said in 2009 that “China will launch an attack on India before 2012. There are multiple reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century.” Later in the same year, India's Air Force Chief stressed that “India faces a greater threat from China than Pakistan because New Delhi knows little about Beijing's combat capabilities.” In this year too, opposition leaders in the Parliament have expressed they are wary against possible Chinese aggression. Chinese state-run media may have completely denied such allegations, but reports and actions from both the sides of India and China in strengthening the military establishment along the borders indicate that they're not silent about their slow progress and are making their border issue one of their priorities.

A Pentagon report presented to the US Congress during August, 2010 indicated that China has deployed new sophisticated ‘longer range CSS-5 missiles’ along the 4057 km long border with India. It has also developed contingency plans. China is continuously developing and upgrading the massive roads and rail infrastructure along the border. This infrastructural development will not only facilitate economic development in western China but also support the Chinese army in military operations.
India too does not seem to be silent. There have been some recent Indian military movements at our borders. India is sending more troops to the North-East. The Defence Ministry officials confirmed that two fresh infantry mountain divisions, with 1,260 officers and 35,011 soldiers, will be in operation by 2011. 56 new divisions are in place in Nagaland. The battalion of Arunachal and Sikkim Scouts too will be operational by 2011.

With growing economic inter-dependencies, there is less possibility of war between India and China but tension remains high on the 4,057 km long border they share. China continues to claim part of Arunachal and Aksai Chin region. It also tried to block India’s $2.9 billion loan from the Asian Development Bank. There were also 270 recorded border violations and 2,300 cases of 'aggressive border patrolling' by Chinese soldiers in Indian territory during 2008. Moreover, the last sixty years of history show that China has been on an aggressive expansion spree while India has only managed to face losses. Thus, India should not take China lightly, like it did in 1962. Things may have changed since then, but not the aggressive interests!

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